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Analysis

Predicting The 2022 Opening Day Roster: Version 2.0

Opening Day at Tropicana Field
photo: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Rays

To steal a line from professional wrestling: “It’s Monday morning, and you know what that means.”

Every Monday during Spring Training, I try to project what the Opening Day roster will look like for the Tampa Bay Rays.  Sometimes it’s good.  Other times, I just get it all wrong.  Either way it’s fun to see if I can think like a member of the front office.

As always, there are ground rules that accompany these projections:

  • Only players on the spring roster as of Sunday will be used in the projections come Monday.  That means Luke Raley, who was acquired earlier this week from the Los Angeles Dodgers, is eligible, but Ryon Healy, who FanSided’s Robert Murray reports has agreed to a minor-league deal but has not officially signed, is not.
  • No trade predictions.  It’s hard enough to try and do this with all of the players in Port Charlotte.  I don’t need the rumor mill to add any spice to the equation.
  • Injured lists are in play.  The 10-day, 15-day, and 60-day IL’s are fair game when necessary.
  • Pitcher limits are in effect.  The league will enforce a 13 pitcher maximum on active rosters (not counting players considered two-way players).

With all that said, let’s get moving on the second draft of this projection.

Pitchers

photo: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Rays

The 13 pitchers I have on the Opening Day roster this week is a little different than what we saw in the initial projection.  That’s because the team went out and signed reliever Jason Adam this week, and while he does still have an option remaining, I could see him securing a spot on the right field line come April 8, which would allow another arm that may be coming back from injury to not have to rush back and risk reaggravating a problem.  We’ll see if the coaching staff takes advantage of that situation.

Pitchers (13): Jason Adam, Shane Baz, JT Chargois, Pete Fairbanks, J.P. Feyereisen, Andrew Kittredge, Corey Kluber, Shane McClanahan, Colin Poche, Brooks Raley, Drew Rasmussen, Matt Wisler, Ryan Yarbrough

Catchers

photo: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Rays

The status quo is holding up for the backstops, and I believe my theory to be the one the front office will hold to if either major league catcher gets injured: sign a veteran.  I would expect to see Kevan Smith or even Wilson Ramos on this roster before Rene Pinto or Ford Proctor.

Catchers (2): Francisco Mejia, Mike Zunino

Infielders

photo: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Rays

Things remain the same when it comes to the infielders, especially when you have players like Vidal Brujan and Taylor Walls, whose versatility allow you to use them in almost any type of situation, including in the outfield if needed.  It’s why I’ve kept both on the roster.

Infielders (6): Vidal Brujan, Ji-Man Choi, Yandy Diaz, Wander Franco, Brandon Lowe, Taylor Walls

Outfielders

photo: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Rays

Even with Luke Raley being brought in this week, I don’t see him displacing any of the three outfielders currently on the roster that play the corner spots.  Now if one of them were to be moved…that could be a different story.  But that hasn’t happened yet, so we can’t make that assumption.

Outfielders (5): Randy Arozarena, Kevin Kiermaier, Manuel Margot, Austin Meadows, Brett Phillips

Injured List

photo: Will Vragovic/Tampa Bay Rays

Two players have already been moved to the 60-day injured list, and I would expect to see one more end up there.  Plus, the addition of Jason Adam could allow another pitcher to take his time coming back from injury, with multiple arms returning from Tommy John and thoracic outlet surgeries.

15-day injured list: Ryan Thompson

60-day injured list: Nick Anderson, Yonny Chirinos, Tyler Glasnow

Written By

Steve Carney is the founder and publisher of St. Pete Nine. One of the people most associated with baseball coverage in Tampa Bay, he spent 13 seasons covering the Rays for flagship radio station WDAE, first as producer of Rays Radio broadcasts, then as beat reporter beginning in 2011. He likes new analytics and aged bourbon, and is the owner of one of the ugliest knuckleballs ever witnessed by baseball scouts.

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